See inside one Oklahoma firm's AI model, which analyzes social media, news and weather reports and can make election ...

A forecasting framework that measures how voters evaluate candidates’ future leadership abilities and policy expertise accurately anticipated the closely contested outcome of the 2024 United States ...

Prediction market users have wagered in excess of $197 million on midterm election results, according to NBC News. The outlet analyzed 1,408 open markets on Kalshi and Polymarket for its report, ...

The company said the page gives viewers of its event contracts a central place to see speculators' outlook for the midterm elections.

A few days before the first round of Los Angeles’s mayoral primary, Kalshi and Polymarket gave reality TV star Spencer Pratt a 75 percent chance of advancing to the general election. Kalshi published ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Polymarket advertisements predict a victory for Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral election in November 2025. (Olga ...

Corrections and clarifications: This story has been updated to add new information and clarify the distinction between state-level election betting laws and prediction market regulations. U.S. states ...

WASHINGTON — As Spencer Pratt fell behind in the Los Angeles mayoral primary, an unexpected group began claiming election fraud: people tracking the Republican’s success on prediction markets, the ...

As Spencer Pratt fell behind in the Los Angeles mayoral primary, an unexpected group began claiming election fraud: people tracking the Republican’s success on prediction markets, the increasingly ...