Our Private Markets and Global Asset Allocation strategists upgrade Private Equity to overweight, marking a decisive turn after years of depressed sentiment. Our colleagues argue that the ...

Today’s 3 games will close out the round of 32, before the weekend opens the round of 16. Divergences between betting markets and our model create opportunities. Friday opens with Argentina ...

The June US employment report missed estimates, but still showed a labor market that remains healthy without overheating. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 57k, slowing from a downwardly revised 129k in May.

The USD has moved sideways this year, but its behavior has become more defensive since the Iran war began. After fears of a ...

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh wants to make Fed-watching great again. The Warsh Fed will speak less and guide less. There is, ...

Our US Equity strategists are raising their 2026 S&P 500 target to 8100 from 7700. The increase is driven by a higher EPS ...

Our Geopolitical strategists see the DRC Ebola outbreak as a low-probability but high-consequence supply-chain risk. The ...

Beginning with this Quarterly report, The Global Asset Allocation and Private Markets teams are combining our quarterly outlooks into a single, unified framework, reflecting a more integrated approach ...

Our EM strategists view Korea’s equity tantrum as a warning for global risk assets and recommend taking profits and ...

1. OverviewMacroQuant’s equity z-score continues to flirt with the dreaded -1 threshold. Scores below that threshold have reliably predicted equity bear markets (Chart 1). The z-score nearly breached ...

Our Geopolitical strategists expect geopolitical risk to ease modestly in Q3, with the notable exception of Russia, where tensions appear underrated. The US midterm election will force the Trump ...