Background Annually, 4% of the global population undergoes non-cardiac surgery, with 30% of those patients having at least ...

Think certain investors are geniuses? Buffett argues they're just lucky monkeys. Discover why the Oracle of Omaha argues that ...

Background The relationship of social determinants of health (SDOH), environmental exposures and medical history to lung function trajectories is underexplored. A better understanding of these ...

Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum realm with potential applications in computing and beyond. Credit: Shutterstock ...

How do you shape perception ethically when storytelling beats facts? One compelling framework that offers clarity is Bayesian persuasion, introduced by economists Kamenica and Gentzkow in 2011, —a ...

Imagine you take a flu test. Before the result, you already have a guess, maybe you feel a bit unwell, so you think the chance is 50–50. When the test comes back positive, you don’t throw away your ...

Abstract: We use Markov categories to generalize the basic theory of Markov chains and hidden Markov models to an abstract setting. This comprises characterizations of hidden Markov models in terms of ...

In a world of uncertainty and shifting narratives, this post proposes a new model for investing: Bayesian edge investing. Unlike modern portfolio theory, which assumes equilibrium and perfect ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Writes about the future of finance and technology, follow for more. Joint probability teaches us to calculate combined outcomes.

The mathematics behind artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) rely on linear algebra, calculus, probability, and statistics. These provide the foundation for developing the needed ...

Many cybersecurity leaders kick off each new year with predictions for the year to come. You may have seen a deluge of them over the last month or so: "Cyberattacks will continue to be a problem." ...